Forecasting of the perspectives for innovation technology at development in manufacture with use of TRIZ

The new expert method for forecasting of the perspectives for innovation technology at development in manufacture with its subsequent commercialization is described in the article. The method is based on the Laws of technical systems evolution from the Theory of inventive problems solving (TRIZ). The new method was tested by example of choice for development in manufacture an innovation technology for separation of nonferrous metals.

Keywords: Theory of inventive problems solving, Decision maker, Laws of technical systems evolution, multi factors approach, expert methods of forecasting, S-curve

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