Current state and trends in the transfer of promising technologies based on analytics of Gartner experts

The authors of the article study promising technological directions for organizing the process of technology transfer. This article discusses the key technology trends for 2024 as identified by the research company Gartner. The presented technological trends serve as a basis for analyzing patent activity in such areas as: artificial intelligence, sustainable technologies, cybersecurity and platform engineering. It proposed to consider the dynamics of patent activity based on queries in patent search database for 2014-2024. The analysis made it possible to draw conclusions about which trends are sustainable and ongoing development trends, and which are only recommendations for the direction of development. In addition to global patenting within the considered areas of technological development according to Gartner analytics, the rating of companies by the number of valid patents of the Russian Federation for inventions, utility models and industrial designs related to digital technologies presented. According to this rating, it revealed in which areas, which correspond to the proposed technological trends, technologies are developing in Russia. Thus, the conclusion about the revealed relationship between patent activity and technological trends identified by Gartner analysts substantiated. These two factors influence each other, as technological trends can stimulate patent activity, and patent applications, in turn, can indicate new technological trends.

Keywords: technological trends, patent activity, artificial intelligence, sustainable development, interconnection, technology transfer.

References

  1. L. A. Stoforandov. Development of platform solutions within the framework of strategic management of the development of technology transfer centers//Economics: yesterday, today, tomorrow. 2023. Vol. 13. № 3-1. P. 720-725.
  2. M. O. Skivko. Modern technological trends: textbook. Samara: Samara University Publishing House, 2022. 60 p.
  3. A. S. Nikolaev, I. A. Gokinaeva. Problems of determining the strength and significance of a patent as a key asset of an innovative enterprise//Financial Economics. 2019. № 2. P. 747-750.
  4. V. V. Dorzhieva. Digital transformation of industry and industrial policy under external constraints//Voprosy innovatsionnoy ekonomiki. 2023. Vol. 13. № 2. P. 637-648.
  5. Thanh Viet Nguyen, A. G. Kravets. A new method for predicting technological trends based on the analysis of scientific articles and patents//International Journal of Open Information Technologies. 2022. Vol. 10. № 10. P. 49-62.
  6. S. V. Kortov, D. B. Shulgin, D. E. Tolmachev, A. D. Egarmina. Analysis of technological trends based on the construction of patent landscapes//Regional Economics. 2017. Vol. 13. Iss. 3. P. 935-947.
  7. Top 10 strategic technology thends for 2024. https://www.gartner.com/en/articles/gartner-top-10-strategic-technology-trends-for-2024.
  8. Orbit Intelligence (Questel). https://www.orbit.com. 

Authors