Innovative development of the aviation industry and prospects of population aviation mobility growth

Prospects of the population aviation mobility growth can influence the way people live, the situation on the labor markets. In this paper we consider a hypothetical scenario of the transition of employees of certain professions to the almost daily trips to places of work. We propose economicmathematical model that assesses the possible increase of the wage rate with the increasing competition of employers due to the extension of «search area» with the increasing mobility of workers. Also, we take into account the costs and losses associated with flights to places of work, and determine the optimal «search radius» for the worker in which net income (free of expenses and losses) will be maximized. We determine the threshold levels of average labor productivity, as well as parameters of air transportation — speed and cost of flights — under which the model of labor behavior becomes preferable for the employee. We estimate the reserves of air transportation and aircraft markets capacity growth in the transition of a percentage of workers to daily flights. Thus, one may determine the requirements for the level of aviation technology development, making possible radical growth of population aviation mobility and capacity of the respective markets. Developed methods and obtained results can be used in formation of the «image of the future» of aviation and other sectors of the economy, which performance can change when new opportunities of the population mobility appear

Keywords: aviation mobility, the demand for air travel, labor markets, mobility, forecasting, economic-mathematical model

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