The relevance of the work is due to the need for predictive assessments of the impact of the effectiveness of innovation activities on improving the
standard of living of the population in the regions. The «Quadruple Spiral» model of interaction of participants in the innovation process is presented. On
the basis of correlation and regression analysis within the framework of the quadruple helix model, the possibility of predictive assessment of the standard
of living of the population of the territory depending on the level of innovative development of the region is shown. In general, the presence of a certain
relationship between key indicators in the innovation sphere and civil society allows us to use a regression formula to model predictive estimates of the impact
of innovation performance on improving the standard of living of the population in the regions
Keywords: subjects of the Arctic zone, innovative development of regions; triple and quadruple helix; civil society; standard of living of the population; correlation and regression analysis.
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